RMS Launches New Climate Change Models in U.S and Japan

RMS Launches New Climate Change Models in U.S and Japan 150 150 Haggie Partners

New Solutions Significantly Increase the Perils and Regions Where Businesses can Strategically Employ Reliable Climate Change Science

RMS, a world leading risk modeling and solutions company, today announced an expansion to its latest suite of RMS Climate Change Models, to enable customers to strategically assess the near- and long-term impacts of climate change across a wider range of perils and regions.

The new models will be generally available in June for major perils including U.S. Flood, U.S. Wildfire, and Japan Typhoon (including tropical cyclone induced inland flood). The existing North Atlantic Hurricane Climate Change Model will also now incorporate sea-level rise projections for the United States, including the impact of vertical land movement, for example, areas of land sinking in the Gulf region.

The RMS Climate Change Models address the growing need for climate change analytics in operational underwriting and portfolio management activities, in addition to supporting the increasing demands of regulatory requirements such as those from the Task Force on Climate Related Financial Disclosures (TCFD), and the Network for Greening the Financial System.

Across all the RMS Climate Change Models, customers will be able to simulate the effects of climate change across four greenhouse gas concentration trajectories (known as Representative Concentration Pathways, or RCPs) at any time between 2020 and 2100.

Julie Serakos, Senior Vice President, Model Product Management, at RMS, said: “The effects of climate change up until now are already incorporated into RMS models, including all major peril models. What is becoming increasingly important for businesses is the ability to look forward at the potential impacts of climate change, across portfolios, risks and liabilities. There is also a growing need to capture sensitivity around the potential impacts of historical climate change, for example in perils where the consensus on this is limited. Only with detailed, consistent, and reliable information around future climate change risks are businesses and executives able to make informed long-term strategic decisions to best reflect the interests for their business, stakeholders, and regulators.

As disasters with a climate related footprint, such as flooding, wildfires, and hurricanes, increase in incidence and severity, it is also clear that this is a problem not just for the future, but one that needs to be strategically dealt with today, with the best tools available to give the clearest insights.”

Paul Wilkinson, Head of Aggregation and Risk Strategy, Canopius, said: “The RMSmodels enable adjusting time horizons for the near- and long-term, combined with the full flexibility and range of the IPCC’s Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios. Climate change presents one of the most significant risks to the (re)insurance industry. It is important to us to incorporate the latest science relating to climate change into our risk analytics in a manner that can be tailored to our needs and fully integrated across key business operations, such as portfolio management, near-term underwriting, and business planning.”